TP The business of what comes next Thursday 22 October 2026 · updated 02:59 Get the weekly briefing
Tomorrow’sPublisher.
Editor’s Pick Strategy

Prediction markets give specialist publishers a business worth building

Paid partnerships already exist. The next opportunity is to turn readers’ expertise into a product they return to, with income from participation, sponsorship and useful intelligence.

A red-clad publisher pushes a blue-clad reader in a wheeled chair through a doorway marked Exchange, while claiming a closer reader relationship.

Cartoon · AI-generated

Inside the Editor’s Pick

On 19 October, NextBigFuture announced regular Kalshi reviews alongside its science, technology and business coverage. Brian Wang said he would examine two or three markets daily, mainly in science, technology and energy. The article disclosed a paid relationship and possible referral commissions. This is a concrete specialist publishing arrangement beyond sport.

Specialist publishers have an advantage in prediction markets: they already gather people who know a subject, care about its future and return when something important happens. Give those readers a way to record and test their expectations, and the publication can become more useful between the headlines.

Specialist publishers should start testing this business now. The first commercial arrangements are already visible. The larger prize is a community whose expertise, habits and spending remain connected to the publication as successive events unfold.

· 6 min read · Ivan Massow Read the Editor’s Pick →

The big thinking Every Editor’s Pick →

Previous Editor’s Picks & selected reading.

The newswire All the latest →

What’s moving in publishing.

Reporting from Noah Wire
  1. Editorial cartoon accompanying: WSJ’s Doppler AI listens beyond the polls for the issues shaping the 2026 midterms
    Platforms & Discovery

    WSJ’s Doppler AI listens beyond the polls for the issues shaping the 2026 midterms

    The Wall Street Journal is using Doppler News AI to analyse millions of videos, podcasts and news clips, seeking political undercurrents that conventional polling may miss.

    The Wall Street Journal is testing whether a custom artificial intelligence system can do for political reporting what conventional polling has long struggled to provide: a clearer view of what voters are actually talking about. More than 100 million people are expected to vote in the 2026 US midterm elections, and the Journal’s new tool, Doppler News AI, is being used to scan huge swathes of online conversation in…

    Read the full story → 22 Oct 2026 · 4 min read
  2. Editorial cartoon accompanying: WSJ uses AI to hear beyond the election horse race
    AI & Technology

    WSJ uses AI to hear beyond the election horse race

    22 Oct 2026 · 3 min read

More from the wire

Advertisement · Noah

The changing business

Explore the sections

The publishing agenda.

A few stories to start with.
Follow a section for the full picture.

Strategy

A contracts clerk says We have secured the route while a long signed contract winds around the wheel of a courier’s newspaper trolley, preventing it from moving.
More Strategy

Audiences

More Audiences

Revenue

More Revenue

AI & Technology

More AI & Technology

Platforms & Discovery

More Platforms
Advertisement · Noah
Advertisement · Noah
Advertisement · Noah

Make sense of what's next.

A weekly briefing for people shaping the future of publishing.

Free. Email requests are handled by our team.